The Champions League Final spots up for grabs.
Chelsea
1. Chelsea have failed to make it through a CL knockout tie the last 3 times they've drawn the first leg
2. Timo Werner will be too wasteful. His goals to XG differential is -2.19 ; the biggest underperformance by any player in the 2020/21 UCL
3. Tuchel has lost 3 of his last 6 UCL home games
4. Benzema has scored 5 goals in UCL semis
5. Real Madrid havent conceded more than one goal in their last 18 competitive matches
Real Madrid
1. Madrid had just 1 shot on target in the first leg. Their lowest recorded total in a UCL home game
2. Chelsea have lost just one of their last 9 UCL semi final games
3. Benzema hasn't scored 7 goals in a UCL season since 2011/12. He's got 6 this season.
4. The last time a UCL semi final 1st leg ended 1-1 was in 2008 ... and Chelsea made the finals.
5. Real Madrid have faced Chelsea more often than any other team in all competitions without winning in their entire history,failing to beat them in 4 attempts (D2, L2).
Manchester City
1. The 1st leg was the first time Mbappe has played 90 mins in a UCL match without having a single shot. Surely he can't be kept so quiet again
2. Pep Guardiola has never won the UCL without Lionel Messi in his team
3. In this season, City have actually allowed opponents mire XG at home (0.56 a game) than away (0.46 a game) . They play at home next
4. The Bayern Curse. Bayern have either got to the UCL final or have been eliminated by an eventual finalist. Paris knocked them out this season.
5. You have to go back to before even Paris were formed to find the last time Man. City reached a major European Cup final (April 1970)
PSG
1. In the history of European Cup/ UCL, there have been 47 occasions where English teams have won the first leg of an away knockout tie and all 47 of them progressed.
2. In the UCL era only Ajax in 2018/19 and Panathinakios (1995/96) have failed to reach the final after winning the 1st leg of a semifinal away from home
3. PSG have never gone through a European tie after losing the 1st leg at home
4. PSG have failed to win any of their 4 competitive matches against City (D2, L2)
5. Mancity's win over PSG was their 10th in the 2020/21 UCL equalling their record for most wins in a season by an English club (level with Man Utd in 2002/03).
Cc. Wilson Oluoch
Mouthing
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